Monday, July 29, 2013

Weekly Update: Medium Term Outlook

  1. CNX Nifty opened higher last week at 6009.75 (5991.2) made a higher high of 6093.35 (6051.1) , and made a lower low of 5869.5 (5910.95). It closed lower at 5886.2 (6038.05) for the week. The Candlestick was bearish engulf, with good volumes.
  2. The RSI(14) remained jumped to 51 Remember it is being resisted at and around 70 level in both Weekly and Daily charts. Fast MACD had taken support at zero and now kissing it's signal line from the top . The Short Term Slow Stochastics is above it's signal line touching 70 odd levels, but sort of turning downwards. Momentum indicators are generally hovering around their centerlines. The ADX reading for the week has further slipped to 13.98, coming off from a high of 28 registered for the last week of Jan 2013.
  3. The Adjusted Volumes for this week were 16% Above average. The OBV has shot above it's signal line, and have formed a bearish divergence with the closing weekly prices. The CMF continues above center-line around +0.06. While EMV indicates weakening of uptrend. All Volume indicaotrs are indicating bearishness
    1. Pars Fortunae 12Ta24
      1. Aspects: This point is sqaured with Venus 13Le53 and Quincunx with Saturn 11Li07.
      2. Houses: The POF is placed in first half of Taurus, in the Nakshatra of Rohini . In D9 the POF is placed in Bharani Nakshatra.

        The first house is empty. The Lord of the first House, Venus is in Leo, placed in P Phalguni Nakshatra, while in D9 Venus is placed in Leo and in Magha Nakshatra. This house is aspected by Neptune (Rx), being the 7th house from him. The House is under Argala from Jupiter, while Mercury and Mars are causing Paap Argala on it. While Virodha Argala is caused by Ketu, Rahu and Saturn.

        The Second house which corresponds to Gemini has Mercury in Punarvasu, Mars and Jupiter in the Nakshatra of Ardra. The Lord of the House Gemini is Mercury in his own house in Gemini, while in D9 he is in Aries-Bharani. Besides Jupiter is conjunct with Mars.

        The fifth house corresponds to Virgo, and it is empty. Jupiter is the Karaka of this house and is ill placed in both D1 and D9. However the house Lord Mercury is in his own house in Gemini and in the Nakshatra of Punarvasu. This house is also 7th from the Uranus.

        The 10th House has Neptune (Rx) , and it corresponds with Aquarius - Shatabhishak. Neptune is conjunct with Saturn in Capricorn - U. Ashadha in D9. The House Lord Saturn is in the 6th house, corresponding with Libra, in the Nakshatra of Swati.

      3. Vimshottari Dasha (from POF): It is Moon's Mahadasha with Rahu's Antardasha, with Jupiter's Pratiantardasha, and Mars' Sookshmantardasha. Moon is in the 12th House in D1 and in Aries - Ashwini while in D9 it is in 2nd house of Taurus - Rohini. Rahu is in 6th house i.e., Libra - Swati in D1 while in D9 it is in 12th House i.e., Pisces - U.Bhadrapada.
    2. Rashi Chakra -- Asc 19Le14
      1. Aspects: The Ascendant point is in trine with Pluto (Rx) at 15Sa35.
      2. Houses: The Asc is placed in second half of Leo, in the Nakshatra of P. Phalguni . In D9 the Asc is at 23Vi16. Here it is placed in Hasta Nakshatra.

        The first house has Venus at 13Le53, in the Nakshatra of P Phalguni while in D9 Venus is placed in the 12th house corresponding with Leo - Magha. The Lord of the first House, Sun is placed in the 12th House corresponding to Cancer, in Pushya Nakshatra while in D9 it is placed in 19Li27 in the swati Nakshatra, where it is debilitated. The 1st House is under Argala from Jupiter, while Mercury and Mars are causing Paap Argala on it. While Virodha Argala is caused by Sun, Moon, Ketu, Rahu and Saturn. Sun is the most advanced amongst them all.

        The Second house which corresponds to Virgo is empty. The Lord of the House Mercury is in his own house in Gemini, in the Nakshatra of Punarvasu while in D9 it is in the 9th house corresponding to Aries in the Nakshatra of Bharani. This house has Mars' Drishti on it, being the 4th from Mars.

        The 5th house is empty which corresponds to Sagittarius, and it's Lord Jupiter is also the Karaka of this house is in the 11th house and is ill placed in both D1 and D9. The House is 7th from the Gemini which have Mercury Mars and Jupiter. While it is third from Libra, wherein we have Saturn. And Saturn is ahead of them all.

        The 9th House has Ketu and Moon - Ketu in the Nakshatra of Bharani, and Moon in Ashwini while in D9 Moon is in the 9th house corresponding to Taurus-Rohini, and Ketu is in 1st house corresponding with Virgo -Hasta. This house corresponds with Aries. Saturn is aspecting this house, as it is the 7th house from him. The House Lord Mars is in the 11th House, corresponding to Gemini, an enemy's house, in the Ardra Nakshatra while in D9 Mars is in the 6th House corresponding with Aquarius - P. Bhadrapada, along with Jupiter who is in Dhanishtha Nakshatra, thereby exchanging Nakshataras with each other.

        The 10th House is empty, and it corresponds with Taurus. The House Lord Venus is in the 1st house, corresponding with Leo, in an enemy's house while in D9 it is in 12th house corresponding with Leo - Magha Nakshatara.

        The 11th House which corresponding with Gemini, has Mercury (Punarvasu) , Mars and Jupiter in it in the Nakshatra of Ardra.

      3. Vimshottari Dasha : It is Ketu' Mahadasha with Mars' Antardasha, with Venus's Pratiantardasha, and Venus's Sookshmantardasha.
    3. The Penumblar Lunar Eclipse occured on 25th May at 9:23:11 AM at 9Sc46. On Wednesday Sun is conjunct with this point in D9. On Thursday Venus is square with this point in D4. And Neptune is getting squared with this point in D1. In the Context of NSE, in the coming week might witness volatility with Positive Bias. The RBI's policy due on the 30th July might induce sudden bounce in Nifty Index. The initial bias this week is going to remain negative, till Wednesday at the max, then turn mildly positive from Thursday onwards. The weekly candle is likely to be perhaps a Doji!
  4. It's pointless to anticipate supports and resistances in a Corrective market, but Nifty is likely to meet some definite resistance around 6045 and major supports around 5765.
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Monday, July 15, 2013

Weekly Update: Medium Term Outlook

  1. CNX Nifty opened lower last week at 5833.15 (5834.1) made a higher high of 6019(5904.35) , and made a higher low of 5775.55(5760.4). It closed higher at 6009(5867.9) for the week. The Candlestick shows some support at lower levels like 5830.
  2. The RSI(14) remained jumped to 56.25. Remember it is being resisted at and around 70 level in both Weekly and Daily charts. Fast MACD has taken support at zero and now kissing it's signal line . The Short Term Slow Stochastics is above it's signal line touching 70 odd levels. Momentum indicators are generally hovering around their centerlines. The ADX reading for the week has further slipped to 16.47, coming off from a high of 28 registered for the last week of Jan 2013.
  3. The Adjusted Volumes for this week were 12% Below average. The OBV has shot above it's signal line. The CMF continues below center-line around +0.0004. While EMV indicates weakening of uptrend.
    1. Ascendent 6Le21
      1. Aspects: This point is aspected by Neptune(Rx) Opposition at 10Aq57 , and Point of Speculation Opposition at 3Aq19 .
      2. Houses: The 1st house is Fiery Leo, in the Nakshatra of Magha, the Lord of the house, Sun is in 11th house i.e., Airy Gemini in the Nakshatra of Punarvasu, along with friends Mars and Jupiter . Sun is void of any major aspects. The 2nd House is Virgo and it has Moon, in the Nakshatra of Hasta, who is just past the exaltation point of Mercury. It's Lord is Mercury is Retrograde in 11th house i.e., Gemini, in the Nakshatra of Punarvasu, squared with Uranus and Opposition with Pluto. The 5th House is Sagittarius and Pluto is Retrograde in Sagittarius. It's lord Jupiter is in 11th House i.e., Gemini, in the Nakshatra of Ardara, a house of an enemy, opposing it's own house, in the company of Sun, Mars and Mercury. Jupiter is Conjunct with Mars, trine with Saturn and Neptune and in opposition to Pluto. The 9th House is Aries, and Ketu is placed here in the Nakshatra of Bharani. It's Lord Mars is in the 11th House corresponding with Gemini, in the Nakshatra of Ardara, in the house of an enemy. The 10th House is Earthy Taurus, and it's lord Venus is in watery Cancer, in the Nakshatra of Ashlesha i.e., 12th House. The 11th House is Airy Gemini, who has both it's Lord Mercury here in the Nakshatra of Punarvasu and it's Karaka, Jupiter in the Nakshatra of Ardra. Besides joining the party are Sun, in the Nakshatra of Punarvasu and Mars in the Nakshatra of Ardra.
      3. Vimshottari Dasha: It is Moon's MahaDasha, Saturn's Bhukti, Venus is Pratiantardasha, Jupiter in Sookshma Antardasha. Moon is in Earthy Virgo , in the Nakshatra of Hasta, just past the Exaltation Point of Mercury. Moon is square with Mercury and Pluto. Moon is opposite Uranus. In D9 Moon is almost on the Cusp of Gemini in the Nakshatra of Mrigshira,or the second house. Also Moon is conjunct with Ascendent. So Moon is expressedly and implicitly connected with Wealth in this Chart. In D4, Moon is in the 8th House, Corresponding with Watery Pisces, along with the Sun, in the Nakshatra of U. Bhadrapada. While Sun is in Revati Nakshatra. Here it is Opposite Jupiter in Virgo. So it is badly placed in D4. All in all Moon is well placed, except for money matters.

        Saturn is accelerating towards it's exaltation point. In D1 it is placed in the 3rd House of Sahaja, corresponding with Libra, in the Nakshatra of Swati, in this house it also has Rahu for a company. In D9, Saturn is in the 9th House, coresponding with the Earthy Sign of Capricorn, in the Nakshatra of U. Ashadha. The Karaka of this house, Jupiter is also present here, in the same Nakshatra. And as a bonus we have Neptune Retrograde in this same Nakshatra as well. In D4 Saturn is in the 6th House corresponding with Capricorn, in the Nakshatra of Shravana. So Saturn is powerful in important divisional charts.

        Venus is placed in the 12th House in D1, the house of Vyaya, and it's Karaka is Saturn. In D9, Venus is placed in the 11th House of Labha alongwith Rahu. Venus here resides in the Nakshatra of U. Bhadrapada. The Karaka of 11th House Jupiter is placed with Saturn in Saturn's House. In D4, Venus is conjunct with Rahu in Aries, corresponding with the 9th House. The lord of the house Mars, is in enemy's house in Gemini. While the Karaka of this House Jupiter is also placed in an Enemy house in Virgo. So Venus is not strong in the concerned divisional charts. While we already know that Jupiter is weak in all related Divisional Charts as well..

    2. Pars Fortunae 24Li12
      1. Aspects: This point is aspected by Rahu Conjunct at 19Li13 , Upaketu Quincunx at 28Ta46, Mercury (Rx) Trine at 20Ge38Rx
      2. Houses: The POF is placed in Libra alongwith Saturn and Rahu. The Nakshatra that it is placed in is Vishakha. The house Lord is Venus, which is in 10th house. In D9 it is placed at 7 Ta50, where it is trine with Saturn in Capricorn. The Nakshatra that POF is placed in D9 is Krittika. The Second house is Scorpio and it's lord Mars is in an enemy's house in Gemini, corresponding with 9th House, where it is conjunct with Jupiter. The 5th House has Neptune in it. The House Lord Saturn is in the First House, causing a Dhana Yoga, where Dhana could easily be achieved through penance, patience and service. The 9th House has both it's Karaka and House Lord. The House Lord is Retrograde. The 10th house has Venus and the House Lord is in the 12th House.
      3. Vimshottari Dasha: It is Jupiter's Mahadasha with Mercury's Bhukti. Jupiter is weak in all our charts, and Mercury though powerful is retrograde.
    3. Chander Lagna 16Vi37
      1. Aspects: This Point is aspected by Parivesha Quincunx at 17Aq53 , Uranus Opposition at 18Pi28 , Spirit Trine at 18Ta31, Pluto Square at 15Sg55Rx.
      2. Houses: The 1st House is Virgo. The 2nd House is Libra, with Saturn and Rahu placed in it. Both are in Swati Nakshatra. The 5th House is Capricorn, it's empty and it's Lord is placed in the 2nd House, causing a simple Dhan Yoga. The 9th House corresponds to Taurus and it is empty too, with it's Lord Venus placed in 11th house corresponding with Cancer. The 10th house has Sun, Mercury(Rx), Mars, and Jupiter and corresponds to Gemini.
      3. Vimshottari Dasha: Calculated using Moon as starting point and D9 as chart, it is Mars Mahadasha with Saturn's bhukti. Mars is in the 8th House in the D9, from Moon. The Nakshatra is Moola. The Saturn is in the 9th House corresponding with Capricorn in the Nakshatra of U. Ashadha.
    4. The Penumblar Lunar Eclipse occured on 25th May at 9:23:11 AM at 9Sc46. In Rashi Chakra, Mars is Quincunx with this point on Thursday, and Asc is square with this point on Thursday as well. In the Context of NSE, in the coming week a major reversal could take place, i.e., a reversal with short to medium term effect. This week is to be watched carefully, as the Astrological set up is conducive to a sudden rise or fall, the latter more likely. The initial bias this week is going to remain positive, with a mean reversion to short term mean likely to to get triggered on the Wednesday afternoon or Thursday. From Friday onwards, there is a strong likelihood that Nifty might regain it's Negative bias and might whipsaw sharply- there is a likelihood that Nifty might form a short to medium term top this week. The weekly Close on coming Friday is expected to be Red!
  4. It's pointless to anticipate supports and resistances in a Corrective market, but Nifty is likely to meet some definite resistance around 6070 and major supports around 5770.
  5. For Calls Please check my Facebook Timeline


Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Weekly Update: Medium Term Outlook

  1. CNX Nifty opened higher last week at 5834.1 (5638.05) made a higher high of 5904.35 (5852.95) , and made a higher low of 5760.4 (5566.25). It closed a tad higher at 5867.9 (5842.2) for the week. The Candlestick shape resembled that of an ill defined doji.
  2. The RSI(14) remained unchanged at 51. Remember it is being resisted at and around 70 level in both Weekly and Daily charts. Fast MACD has taken support at zero below it's signal line . The Short Term Slow Stochastics is below it's signal line turning up. Momentum indicators are generally hovering around their centerlines. The ADX reading for the week has further slipped to 17.62, coming off from a high of 28 registered for the last week of Jan 2013.
  3. The Adjusted Volumes for this week were 4% ABOVE average. The OBV has shot above it's signal line. The CMF continues below center-line around -0.05. While EMV indicates continuation of uptrend.
    1. The The Pars Fortunae (POF) for this week lies in 28Cn20 in the Aslesha Nakshatra Pada 4, the Nakshatra lord is Mercury, and Pada lord is Jupiter. The D9 position is 15Pi20 and Nakshatra is U.Bhadrapada, the Nakshatra lord being Saturn. This point is conjunct with Rahu and Ascendent in D9. The lord of the First house, Moon in D1 is combust in Gemini, corresponding with the 12th House. In D9, Moon is in Ashwini, Pada 2, in the Ketu's Nakshatra. The Second House from POF is Leo, and it's lord Sun is in Mercury's house in Gemini corresponding with 12th House. The 5th house from POF is Scorpio, this house is affected by Ketu's Drishti, and it's Lord Mars is in a Enemy's house in Gemini corresponding with the 12th house. The 10th House has Ketu corresponding with Aries. The Vimshottari Dasha calculated from POF, has Mercury Mahadasha with Saturn's Bhukti. Mercury is in it's own house but retrograde in D1 and and in a freinds house in Taurus under Rohini Nakshatra in D9. Whereas Saturn is in exalted house in D1, and in it's own house in D9, going direct on the 8th July itself, exerting full power. The Point of Speculation is at 22Cp14 quincunx with Sun.
    2. In Rashi Chart, (D-1), Ascendent is in Cancer, and in Pisces in the Navamsa Chart (D-9). The lord of the first house in D-1 is Moon which is in 12th house corresponding with Gemini, with Paap Argala from Saturn, Rahu and Ketu and No Virodha Argala from the rest of the planets. In Navamsa Chart (D-9), Moon is in Aries, in the Aswini Nakshatra, corresponding to the 2nd house in D-9. The ascendent in Navamsa lies in Pisces with Aries as second house, whose lord is Mars, and he is in his enemies' house in Libra. The 5th House is empty in D1, and in D9. The 10th house has Ketu. In Navamsa Chakra, Ketu is in the 10th house, whose ruler is Mars . The 10th house in D9 have Venus (P.Ashadha) and Jupiter (P. Ashadha),conjunct with each other.
    3. Vimsottari System indicates Mahadasha of Jupiter with Jupiter's Bhukti. Let's examine the Jupiter's placement in various Varga Chakras. Jupiter is in 12th House of Vyaya (Expenditure or Loss) in D-1 which corresponds with Gemini (Ardra), while in D-9 he is in 10th house of Karma corresponding with Sagittarius (P. Ashadha), and in D-4 he is in the 6th house that is Ripu (Enemy) House, Corresponding with Virgo. In Hora Chakra, Jupiter is in Leo (P.Phalguni), in a friend's house Corresponding with 11th house. So Jupiter is not very well placed in various chart. Punarvasu Nakshatra is a passive, and balanced Nakshatra.
    4. Chandra Lagna As per Chandra Lagna (CL), the second house is Cancer and it's lord is Moon which is in the first house, same house as Sun under the Paap Argala from Rahu and Saturn, and Virodh Argla from Venus and Ketu, with Ke being the most advanced. But in Navamasa Chart, (d-9), Moon is in Aries (Ashwini), in the second house, and it's lord is in the 9th House - an enemy's house. While moon is the lord of the 5th - causing the simple Dhana Yoga. So there are multiple dhana yogas, but they are weak, because the planets involved are not well placed. As per the Vimshottari Dasha calculated using the D9 - it is Ketu's Mahadasha with Moon's Bhukti.
    5. The Chaturthamsa Chart (D-4) has ascendent in Aries (Krittika) with it's lord, Mars in the third house, i.e., Gemini (Ardra). The lord of the second house Taurus is Venus which is sitting in a friend's house with corresponding with 10th house, and it's Karaka, Jupiter is in the 6th House, corresponding with Virgo (U.Phalguni) in an enemy's house. The 2nd house has malefic Vyatipat and IndraChapa Upagrahas and 9th has Benefic Yama Ghantaka.As per the Vimshottari Dasha calculated using the D4 - it is Venus' Mahadasha with Jupiter's Bhukti.
    6. The Penumblar Lunar Eclipse occured on 25th May at 9:23:11 AM at 9Sc46. In Rashi Chakra, Jupiter is Square with this point on Friday. In D2 Rahu would be in opposition on Monday. In D4, Mars squares on Monday, Moon trines on Tuesday, Sun Trines on Thursday. In D9 On Wednesday Moon conjuncts and Sun squares On Thursday, Mars conjuncts this point. In the Context of NSE, the coming week again looks lackluster and rangebound, with a negative bias initially which should begin to weaken from Thursday. From Friday onwards, there is a strong likelihood that Nifty might regain it's Upward bias and might whipsaw - there is a likelihood that Nifty might form a short term bottom this week. The weekly Close on coming Friday is expected to be green!(Wow, I didn't have to change much from last time!)
  4. It's pointless to anticipate supports and resistances in a Corrective market, but Nifty is likely to meet some definite resistance around 5965 and major supports around 5725.
  5. For Calls Please check my Facebook Timeline